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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Southampton
2 - 0
Cardiff

Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Colwill (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 West Brom
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Cardiff City

Bulut will have his side motivated to hit back from their controversial defeat to West Brom earlier this week and we expect them to push Southampton all the way. Nevertheless, the Saints look like a team who can still be a factor in the automatic promotion race and we are backing another home victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCardiff City
48.29% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.25% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.064999999999998 0.06)46.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.059999999999999 0.06)69.01% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.025999999999996 0.03)19.43% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.25% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.041999999999987 0.04)31.04% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)67.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 48.29%
    Cardiff City 27.25%
    Draw 24.45%
SouthamptonDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Southampton vs Cardiff

Southampton
75.0%
Draw
10.7%
Cardiff City
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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