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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Cardiff City |
48.29% (![]() | 24.46% (![]() | 27.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.26% (![]() | 46.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% (![]() | 69.01% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.58% (![]() | 19.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.75% (![]() | 51.25% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% (![]() | 31.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% (![]() | 67.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 9.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 11.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 66 | 19 | 47 | 69 |
3 | Burnley | 33 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 30 | 65 |
4 | Sunderland | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 62 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 51 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Coventry CityCoventry | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 47 |
8 | Bristol City | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 46 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Watford | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 44 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 44 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
14 | Millwall | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 41 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 38 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
18 | Portsmouth | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 36 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 35 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
21 | Hull City | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 30 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 29 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
24 | Luton TownLuton | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 27 |
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