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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Heidenheim |
46.05% ( 0.11) | 24.76% ( -0.08) | 29.2% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 56% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.18% ( 0.32) | 46.82% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.92% ( 0.3) | 69.07% ( -0.3) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.6% ( 0.18) | 20.4% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.17% ( 0.28) | 52.83% ( -0.28) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% ( 0.14) | 29.65% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% ( 0.17) | 65.69% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Heidenheim |
1-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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