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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Southampton logo

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Southampton

With both teams very much in form, this is a tough match to predict. Watford are growing in confidence, particularly at home, but Southampton have scored a lot of late decisive goals this season and we feel that a similar outcome may materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
45.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 23.41% (0.193 0.19) 30.98% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (-1.046 -1.05)39.72% (1.044 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (-1.095 -1.1)62.07% (1.094 1.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.393 -0.39)17.75% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.683 -0.68)48.43% (0.681 0.68)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.65899999999999 -0.66)24.92% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.921 -0.92)59.55% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.6%
    Southampton 30.98%
    Draw 23.41%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Watford vs Southampton

Watford
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Southampton
50.0%
24
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
Jun 28, 2020 4.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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