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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Southampton |
45.6% ( 0.05) | 23.41% ( 0.19) | 30.98% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 61.75% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.28% ( -1.05) | 39.72% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.92% ( -1.1) | 62.07% ( 1.09) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% ( -0.39) | 17.75% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.57% ( -0.68) | 48.43% ( 0.68) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.07% ( -0.66) | 24.92% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% ( -0.92) | 59.55% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.85% Total : 45.6% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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