Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 15, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero
Elche0 - 4Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elche 1-0 Zaragoza
Sunday, January 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, January 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Osasuna
Sunday, January 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
34
We said: Elche 0-2 Atletico Madrid
The two sides will both enter Wednesday's fixture full of confidence thanks to their respective unbeaten runs, but we think that Atleti's La Liga quality will prove to be a decisive factor, which is why we believe that they will become the first team to beat Elche at the Estadio Martinez Valero since Huesca in August. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Elche had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
33.37% ( -0.63) | 27.84% ( -0.07) | 38.78% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 48.03% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.15% ( 0.18) | 57.84% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( 0.14) | 78.57% ( -0.15) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( -0.33) | 32.37% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.38) | 68.88% ( 0.37) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( 0.49) | 28.97% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.13% ( 0.61) | 64.87% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
Elche 33.37%
Atletico Madrid 38.77%
Draw 27.83%
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.68% Total : 38.77% |
How you voted: Elche vs Atletico
Elche
28.6%Atletico Madrid
71.4%7
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 3.15pm
Dec 29, 2022 8.30pm
