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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Birmingham City |
46.21% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 29.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% (![]() | 44.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% (![]() | 67.23% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% (![]() | 19.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% (![]() | 51.44% (![]() |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% (![]() | 28.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.74% (![]() | 64.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Birmingham City |
2-1 @ 9.32% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 11.41% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.17% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |