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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
0 - 0
Cardiff


McNally (42')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Cardiff City

When two of the form teams in any division lock horns, you expect a high-quality contest. That is what we are anticipating here with Stoke having our backing to extend their unexpected upturn in fortunes with a fourth victory in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
48.85% (0.073 0.07) 25.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.1% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)50% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.041 -0.04)71.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)20.49% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.019000000000005 0.02)52.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)33.66% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.093 -0.09)70.31% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 48.85%
    Cardiff City 26.1%
    Draw 25.03%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
68.4%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke
Pack (56')
Allen (88')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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