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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
0 - 0
Cardiff


McNally (42')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Cardiff City

When two of the form teams in any division lock horns, you expect a high-quality contest. That is what we are anticipating here with Stoke having our backing to extend their unexpected upturn in fortunes with a fourth victory in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
48.85% (0.073 0.07) 25.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.1% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)50% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.041 -0.04)71.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)20.49% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.019000000000005 0.02)52.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)33.66% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.093 -0.09)70.31% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 48.85%
    Cardiff City 26.1%
    Draw 25.03%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
68.4%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke
Pack (56')
Allen (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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