Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Ipswich
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City

Bristol City are bound to fight resiliently, as they have throughout the season with each of their last five games finishing with a one-goal margin, but their defensive options are almost exhausted, and with home advantage and the confidence from their dominant midweek display, we envisage the Bluebirds coming out on top in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Bristol City
45.99%	26.71% ( -0.05)	27.3% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.66% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22% (

0.21)

55.78% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

0.17)

76.91% (

-0.17)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

0.09)

24.21% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45% (

0.13)

58.55% (

-0.13)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21% (

0.16)

35.79% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43% (

0.16)

72.57% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 45.99%

Bristol City 27.3%

Draw 26.7%

Cardiff City	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.99%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.3%