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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Ipswich
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City

 Bristol City are bound to fight resiliently, as they have throughout the season with each of their last five games finishing with a one-goal margin, but their defensive options are almost exhausted, and with home advantage and the confidence from their dominant midweek display, we envisage the Bluebirds coming out on top in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99%26.71% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22% (0.215 0.21)55.78% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09% (0.174 0.17)76.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.094999999999999 0.09)24.21% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.133 0.13)58.55% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.157 0.16)35.79% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (0.16 0.16)72.57% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.99%
    Bristol City 27.3%
    Draw 26.7%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
72.4%
Draw
24.1%
Bristol City
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 35
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Kaba (52'), Philogene-Bidace (70')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
> Match Report
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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