Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Preston North End

Stoke City have been inconsistent overall so far this season, but they have enjoyed four successes in a row at the bet365 Stadium across all competitions, scoring 13 goals in the process. Preston are unbeaten in the second tier up to this point, although we believe that Lowe's men will suffer their first defeat of the campaign in Staffordshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Preston North End
46.1% ( 0.12)	27.24% ( -0.05)	26.65% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 46.72% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.95% (

0.14)

58.05% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.27% (

0.11)

78.73% (

-0.11)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

0.12)

25.16% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

0.16)

59.88% (

-0.17)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.43% (

0.02)

37.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.65% (

0.02)

74.35% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 46.1%

Preston North End 26.65%

Draw 27.24%

Stoke City	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.1%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 26.65%