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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
1 - 2
Stoke

Osmajic (68')
Whiteman (21'), McCann (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (64' og.), McNally (87')
Burger (21'), Hoever (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Stoke City

Preston are enjoying their longest unbeaten run since the beginning of the campaign and will be raring to go after Wednesday night's postponement in Southampton. Stoke face another daunting away trip following their visit to Leeds on Tuesday, and we feel that the Potters will struggle to match the Lilywhites physically at Deepdale, resulting in defeat for Schumacher's charges. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
38.31% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.023 0.02)68.92% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.025000000000006 0.03)24.02% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.034999999999997 0.03)58.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32%59.68%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 38.31%
    Stoke City 36.47%
    Draw 25.21%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Stoke City
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-2
Preston

Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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