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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
50.02% ( -0.22) | 25.12% ( -0.02) | 24.86% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( 0.28) | 51.29% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( 0.24) | 73.12% ( -0.24) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( 0.02) | 20.52% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( 0.03) | 53.01% ( -0.03) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.58% ( 0.36) | 35.41% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% ( 0.38) | 72.17% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 24.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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