Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
38.13% ( 0.16) | 25.38% ( -0) | 36.48% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.57% ( -0) | 47.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.35% ( -0) | 69.64% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.54% ( 0.09) | 24.46% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.09% ( 0.12) | 58.9% ( -0.12) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0.09) | 25.37% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% ( -0.12) | 60.16% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |