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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Stoke have been very poor of late but have the chance to put things right quickly in front of their home supporters against a Swansea side who are also without permanent management. There was a real embrace between the players and the Swans faithful following the win at Rotherham, and we feel that the slight feel-good factor under Sheehan could help them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
38.13% (0.158 0.16) 25.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.64%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (0.12 0.12)58.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.37% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.124 -0.12)60.16% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.13%
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Draw 25.38%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.48%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
46.4%
Draw
17.9%
Swansea City
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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