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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Stoke have been very poor of late but have the chance to put things right quickly in front of their home supporters against a Swansea side who are also without permanent management. There was a real embrace between the players and the Swans faithful following the win at Rotherham, and we feel that the slight feel-good factor under Sheehan could help them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
38.13% (0.158 0.16) 25.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.64%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (0.12 0.12)58.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.37% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.124 -0.12)60.16% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.13%
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Draw 25.38%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.48%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
46.4%
Draw
17.9%
Swansea City
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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