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Championship header 2

Championship
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

 Stoke have been very poor of late but have the chance to put things right quickly in front of their home supporters against a Swansea side who are also without permanent management. There was a real embrace between the players and the Swans faithful following the win at Rotherham, and we feel that the slight feel-good factor under Sheehan could help them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
38.13% (0.158 0.16) 25.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.64%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (0.12 0.12)58.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.37% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.124 -0.12)60.16% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.13%
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Draw 25.38%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.48%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
46.4%
Draw
17.9%
Swansea City
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Whittaker (2')
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
> Match Report
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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