Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Stoke1 - 1Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City
Stoke have been very poor of late but have the chance to put things right quickly in front of their home supporters against a Swansea side who are also without permanent management. There was a real embrace between the players and the Swans faithful following the win at Rotherham, and we feel that the slight feel-good factor under Sheehan could help them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
38.13% ( 0.16) | 25.38% ( -0) | 36.48% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.57% ( -0) | 47.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.35% ( -0) | 69.64% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( 0.09) | 24.46% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.09% ( 0.12) | 58.9% ( -0.12) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.09) | 25.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.83% ( -0.12) | 60.16% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 38.13%
Swansea City 36.48%
Draw 25.38%
| Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.48% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea
Stoke City
46.4%Draw
17.9%Swansea City
35.7%28
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
