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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
45.32% ( 0.12) | 26.21% ( 0.01) | 28.47% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 50.91% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% ( -0.1) | 53.25% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% ( -0.09) | 74.81% ( 0.08) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( 0.01) | 23.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.57% ( 0.02) | 57.43% ( -0.02) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% ( -0.15) | 33.52% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.84% ( -0.16) | 70.16% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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