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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Stoke logo

Plymouth
2 - 1
Stoke

Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-2 Stoke
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Stoke City

Plymouth are continuing to lean on their home form significantly to keep them out of trouble in the Championship, and we are expecting another strong performance from the Pilgrims at Home Park this weekend. Stoke were hit with questionable refereeing decisions and a load of suspensions to key players at QPR last time out, meaning we cannot envisage the Potters earning coming out on top in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
34.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.5%42.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 62.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11%38.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.79%61.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.25%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19%18.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.28%
    Stoke City 42.22%
    Draw 23.5%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Stoke

Plymouth Argyle
67.9%
Draw
10.7%
Stoke City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Plymouth
Sidibe (39')
Hayles (78')
Norris (45'), Doumbé (85')
Feb 14, 2006 3pm
Stoke
0-0
Plymouth
Chadwick (83')
Doumbé (15'), Barness (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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