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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Burnley logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Burnley


Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 Burnley

Failing to find a spark against Preston last time out, Stoke look set for another frustrating match in front of goal this weekend when they face a stubborn Burnley outfit. The Clarets eased past Coventry on Tuesday night and should be confident of repeating the trick against the Potters on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
41.24% (0.124 0.12) 27.08% (0.029 0.03) 31.68% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.155 -0.16)55.33% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.127 -0.13)76.54% (0.125 0.13)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)26.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)32.25% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (-0.212 -0.21)68.75% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.24%
    Burnley 31.68%
    Draw 27.07%
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.68%

How you voted: Stoke vs Burnley

Stoke City
15.3%
Draw
15.3%
Burnley
69.5%
59
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
0-1
Burnley
Cullen (61')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-1
Stoke
Roberts (54')
Clarke (87')
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Stoke
Boyd (58')
Ward (24'), Barton (30'), Boyd (90')

Adam (76'), Martins Indi (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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