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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 30.35% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Burnley win is 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
43.99% ( -0.2) | 25.66% ( 0.28) | 30.35% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.88% ( -1.22) | 50.12% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.91% ( -1.1) | 72.09% ( 1.1) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( -0.62) | 22.71% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.62% ( -0.93) | 56.37% ( 0.93) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.47% ( -0.67) | 30.52% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.25% ( -0.81) | 66.74% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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