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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sunderland

Stoke
2 - 1
Sunderland

Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Sunderland

There may come a time when everything begins to click for Stoke, with or without Neil in the dugout. However, we do not feel that it will be in this encounter, as the Black Cats have the confidence to run out convincing victors against the Potters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
35.67% (-0.137 -0.14) 25.03% (0.153 0.15) 39.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.54% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (-0.72 -0.72)45.89% (0.717 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (-0.686 -0.69)68.2% (0.68299999999999 0.68)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)25.11% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.573 -0.57)59.81% (0.57 0.57)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.328 -0.33)23.16% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (-0.48 -0.48)57.04% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.67%
    Sunderland 39.3%
    Draw 25.02%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sunderland

Stoke City
25.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sunderland
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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