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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Sunderland |
35.67% ( -0.14) | 25.03% ( 0.15) | 39.3% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.11% ( -0.72) | 45.89% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.8% ( -0.69) | 68.2% ( 0.68) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( -0.41) | 25.11% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% ( -0.57) | 59.81% ( 0.57) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( -0.33) | 23.16% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% ( -0.48) | 57.04% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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