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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Sunderland |
35.67% (![]() | 25.03% (![]() | 39.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.11% (![]() | 45.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.8% (![]() | 68.2% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% (![]() | 25.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% (![]() | 59.81% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% (![]() | 23.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% (![]() | 57.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 8.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 11.75% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.6% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 72 | 23 | 49 | 76 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 76 |
3 | Burnley | 36 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 49 | 10 | 39 | 74 |
4 | Sunderland | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 56 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 55 |
7 | Bristol City | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 53 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 52 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 50 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 49 |
11 | Watford | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 |
12 | Millwall | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 48 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 48 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 44 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
17 | Portsmouth | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 39 |
19 | Hull City | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 37 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 36 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 36 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 32 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 31 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 30 |
> Championship Full Table |