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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sunderland

Stoke
2 - 1
Sunderland

Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Sunderland

There may come a time when everything begins to click for Stoke, with or without Neil in the dugout. However, we do not feel that it will be in this encounter, as the Black Cats have the confidence to run out convincing victors against the Potters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
35.67% (-0.137 -0.14) 25.03% (0.153 0.15) 39.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.54% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (-0.72 -0.72)45.89% (0.717 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (-0.686 -0.69)68.2% (0.68299999999999 0.68)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)25.11% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.573 -0.57)59.81% (0.57 0.57)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.328 -0.33)23.16% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (-0.48 -0.48)57.04% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.67%
    Sunderland 39.3%
    Draw 25.02%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sunderland

Stoke City
25.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sunderland
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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