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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sunderland

Stoke
2 - 1
Sunderland

Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Sunderland

There may come a time when everything begins to click for Stoke, with or without Neil in the dugout. However, we do not feel that it will be in this encounter, as the Black Cats have the confidence to run out convincing victors against the Potters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
35.67% (-0.137 -0.14) 25.03% (0.153 0.15) 39.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.54% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (-0.72 -0.72)45.89% (0.717 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (-0.686 -0.69)68.2% (0.68299999999999 0.68)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)25.11% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.573 -0.57)59.81% (0.57 0.57)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.328 -0.33)23.16% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (-0.48 -0.48)57.04% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.67%
    Sunderland 39.3%
    Draw 25.02%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sunderland

Stoke City
25.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sunderland
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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