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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sunderland

Stoke
2 - 1
Sunderland

Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Sunderland

There may come a time when everything begins to click for Stoke, with or without Neil in the dugout. However, we do not feel that it will be in this encounter, as the Black Cats have the confidence to run out convincing victors against the Potters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
35.67% (-0.137 -0.14) 25.03% (0.153 0.15) 39.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.54% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (-0.72 -0.72)45.89% (0.717 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (-0.686 -0.69)68.2% (0.68299999999999 0.68)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)25.11% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.573 -0.57)59.81% (0.57 0.57)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.328 -0.33)23.16% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (-0.48 -0.48)57.04% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.67%
    Sunderland 39.3%
    Draw 25.02%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sunderland

Stoke City
25.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sunderland
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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