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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Watford |
51.02% (![]() | 24.58% (![]() | 24.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.51% (![]() | 49.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.48% (![]() | 71.52% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% (![]() | 19.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% (![]() | 51.2% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% (![]() | 34.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% (![]() | 71.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 11.07% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 51.02% | 1-1 @ 11.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |