Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 2
Watford

O'Nien (70'), Roberts (90+5')
Clarke (65'), O'Nien (78'), Diallo (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kabasele (17'), Porteous (69')
Choudhury (10'), Porteous (19'), Davis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Sunderland
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Watford
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 2-0 Watford

With nothing to play for, Watford may be capable of producing one of their better recent performances. However, we can only back Sunderland to prevail from this fixture, building on an unbeaten run which has given them a chance of a return to the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Watford
47.78% ( 0.23)	25.7% ( -0.07)	26.52% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.07% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.64% (

0.18)

52.36% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.95% (

0.16)

74.05% (

-0.15)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

0.18)

21.92% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

0.27)

55.19% (

-0.27)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

-0.03)

34.59% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

-0.03)

71.31% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 47.77%

Watford 26.52%

Draw 25.69%

Sunderland	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.52%