Championship

Jul 26, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Liberty Stadium

Swansea
1 - 0
Brentford

Ayew (82')
Bidwell (18'), Cabango (55'), Brewster (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jensen (45+2'), Dalsgaard (47'), Norgaard (90')
Henry (66')

Thomas Frank fumes at lack of VAR after controversial red card

The Bees were reduced to 10 men for the final 25 minutes with the score goalless.

Jul 26, 22:45

The Match

Match Report

The Ghana striker had earlier seen his second-half penalty saved by Bees goalkeeper David Raya.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship playoff semi-final first leg between Swansea City and Cardiff, including teamnews and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Brentford
26.05%	25.32%	48.63%

Both teams to score 51.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.81%

51.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97%

73.02%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.95%

71.05%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93%

21.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12%

53.87%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 26.05%

Brentford 48.62%

Draw 25.31%

Swansea City	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 7.73% 2-1 @ 6.44% 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.05%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-3 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.62%