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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Bristol City

Leicester
1 - 0
Bristol City

Vardy (67' pen.)
Faes (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (51'), Knight (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Bristol City

Having previously been undone at home by Hull, Leicester will take nothing for granted against an impressive Robins side. Nevertheless, the Foxes appear to be improving under Maresca and we are backing a professional performance and win to be produced by the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
44.95% (0.273 0.27) 25.69% (0.061 0.06) 29.36% (-0.332 -0.33)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.413 -0.41)50.71% (0.41500000000001 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.366 -0.37)72.61% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.51% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.08% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.453 -0.45)31.53% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.526 -0.53)67.92% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 44.94%
    Bristol City 29.36%
    Draw 25.69%
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Leicester vs Bristol City

Leicester City
70.3%
Draw
18.9%
Bristol City
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Bristol City
3-2
Leicester
Pitman (54'), Stead (79')
Stead (11'), McAllister (82')
Danns (77'), Dyer (41')
Wellens (9')
Aug 17, 2011 7.45pm
Leicester
1-2
Bristol City
Nugent (56')
Fernandes (23'), Bamba (45'), Gallagher (76')
Maynard (5', 66')
Skuse (43'), Wilson (45'), Nyatanga (76')
Feb 18, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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