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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Bristol City

Leicester
1 - 0
Bristol City

Vardy (67' pen.)
Faes (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (51'), Knight (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Bristol City

Having previously been undone at home by Hull, Leicester will take nothing for granted against an impressive Robins side. Nevertheless, the Foxes appear to be improving under Maresca and we are backing a professional performance and win to be produced by the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
44.95% (0.273 0.27) 25.69% (0.061 0.06) 29.36% (-0.332 -0.33)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.413 -0.41)50.71% (0.41500000000001 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.366 -0.37)72.61% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.51% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.08% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.453 -0.45)31.53% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.526 -0.53)67.92% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 44.94%
    Bristol City 29.36%
    Draw 25.69%
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Leicester vs Bristol City

Leicester City
70.3%
Draw
18.9%
Bristol City
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Bristol City
3-2
Leicester
Pitman (54'), Stead (79')
Stead (11'), McAllister (82')
Danns (77'), Dyer (41')
Wellens (9')
Aug 17, 2011 7.45pm
Leicester
1-2
Bristol City
Nugent (56')
Fernandes (23'), Bamba (45'), Gallagher (76')
Maynard (5', 66')
Skuse (43'), Wilson (45'), Nyatanga (76')
Feb 18, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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