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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Bristol City

Leicester
1 - 0
Bristol City

Vardy (67' pen.)
Faes (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (51'), Knight (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Bristol City

Having previously been undone at home by Hull, Leicester will take nothing for granted against an impressive Robins side. Nevertheless, the Foxes appear to be improving under Maresca and we are backing a professional performance and win to be produced by the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
44.95% (0.273 0.27) 25.69% (0.061 0.06) 29.36% (-0.332 -0.33)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.413 -0.41)50.71% (0.41500000000001 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.366 -0.37)72.61% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.51% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.08% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.453 -0.45)31.53% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.526 -0.53)67.92% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 44.94%
    Bristol City 29.36%
    Draw 25.69%
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Leicester vs Bristol City

Leicester City
70.3%
Draw
18.9%
Bristol City
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Bristol City
3-2
Leicester
Pitman (54'), Stead (79')
Stead (11'), McAllister (82')
Danns (77'), Dyer (41')
Wellens (9')
Aug 17, 2011 7.45pm
Leicester
1-2
Bristol City
Nugent (56')
Fernandes (23'), Bamba (45'), Gallagher (76')
Maynard (5', 66')
Skuse (43'), Wilson (45'), Nyatanga (76')
Feb 18, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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