Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
43.18% ( -0.24) | 24.61% ( -0.02) | 32.2% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% ( 0.19) | 44.81% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( 0.18) | 67.17% ( -0.19) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( -0.03) | 20.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( -0.04) | 53.52% ( 0.04) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( 0.25) | 26.65% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( 0.34) | 61.89% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |