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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
43.9% (![]() | 25.57% (![]() | 30.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.32% (![]() | 49.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.31% (![]() | 71.69% (![]() |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% (![]() | 22.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% (![]() | 56.16% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% (![]() | 30.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% (![]() | 66.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.13% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 12.14% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.16% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |