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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
QPR logo

Swansea
0 - 1
QPR

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cook (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Having improved considerably under Williams, Swansea will back themselves to earn at least a share of the spoils here. Nevertheless, QPR can finally play with some extra freedom in this contest and we feel that will lead to another dramatic victory for Cifuentes's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
43.91% (-0.527 -0.53) 26.8% (0.144 0.14) 29.29% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-0.379 -0.38)55.13% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-0.313 -0.31)76.38% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.432 -0.43)24.95% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.603 -0.6)59.58% (0.606 0.61)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (0.093000000000004 0.09)33.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (0.101 0.1)70.55% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 29.29%
    Draw 26.8%
Swansea CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.9%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.157 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.29%

How you voted: Swansea vs QPR

Swansea City
42.9%
Draw
25.7%
Queens Park Rangers
31.4%
35
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
QPR
1-1
Swansea
Dykes (90+2')
Kakay (67')
Ginnelly (7')
Wood (5'), Cooper (90+7')
Cooper (90+8')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-1
Swansea
Lowe (27')
Fulton (81')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Swansea
1-0
QPR
Piroe (21')
Grimes (34'), Paterson (39'), Piroe (77')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
QPR
Gray (80')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
QPR
0-0
Swansea
Odubajo (69'), Johansen (76'), Austin (90+1')
Smith (29'), Cabango (47'), Downes (72'), Obafemi (90+4')
Downes (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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