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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
43.91% ( -0.53) | 26.8% ( 0.14) | 29.29% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.87% ( -0.38) | 55.13% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% ( -0.31) | 76.38% ( 0.32) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% ( -0.43) | 24.95% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( -0.6) | 59.58% ( 0.61) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.12% ( 0.09) | 33.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.45% ( 0.1) | 70.55% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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