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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
QPR logo

Swansea
0 - 1
QPR

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cook (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Having improved considerably under Williams, Swansea will back themselves to earn at least a share of the spoils here. Nevertheless, QPR can finally play with some extra freedom in this contest and we feel that will lead to another dramatic victory for Cifuentes's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
43.91% (-0.527 -0.53) 26.8% (0.144 0.14) 29.29% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-0.379 -0.38)55.13% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-0.313 -0.31)76.38% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.432 -0.43)24.95% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.603 -0.6)59.58% (0.606 0.61)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (0.093000000000004 0.09)33.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (0.101 0.1)70.55% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 29.29%
    Draw 26.8%
Swansea CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.9%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.157 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.29%

How you voted: Swansea vs QPR

Swansea City
42.9%
Draw
25.7%
Queens Park Rangers
31.4%
35
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
QPR
1-1
Swansea
Dykes (90+2')
Kakay (67')
Ginnelly (7')
Wood (5'), Cooper (90+7')
Cooper (90+8')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-1
Swansea
Lowe (27')
Fulton (81')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Swansea
1-0
QPR
Piroe (21')
Grimes (34'), Paterson (39'), Piroe (77')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
QPR
Gray (80')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
QPR
0-0
Swansea
Odubajo (69'), Johansen (76'), Austin (90+1')
Smith (29'), Cabango (47'), Downes (72'), Obafemi (90+4')
Downes (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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