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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Birmingham logo

QPR
2 - 1
Birmingham

Cook (65'), Dunne (90+2')
Hayden (58'), Colback (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bacuna (62')
Laird (47'), Roberts (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City

With a different manager at the helm on an interim basis, Birmingham may respond in a positive manner after a number of defeats. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to end their only winless streak, potentially courtesy of a late goal at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
46.6% (-0.262 -0.26) 25.42% (0.026 0.03) 27.97% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 53% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (0.023 0.02)72.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)21.61% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (-0.163 -0.16)54.72% (0.162 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.19499999999999 0.19)32.38% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.219 0.22)68.89% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.6%
    Birmingham City 27.97%
    Draw 25.42%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: QPR vs Birmingham

Queens Park Rangers
66.7%
Draw
26.2%
Birmingham City
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Birmingham
0-0
QPR
Bacuna (54'), Sanderson (67'), Stansfield (90')
Field (45'), Smyth (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
QPR
0-1
Birmingham
Chong (3')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 18
Birmingham
2-0
QPR
Trusty (4'), Longelo (29')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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