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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 1
Swansea

Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Swansea City

Although these two clubs will expect to remain in the Championship, the stakes are high for both sides, who are aware that defeat could lead to becoming embroiled in a relegation scrap. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw be played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.42% (0.106 0.11) 23.82% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 25.76% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.039000000000001 0.04)45.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67.42% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.057000000000002 0.06)17.93% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (0.095999999999997 0.1)48.75% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)67.67% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.42%
    Swansea City 25.76%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
39.8%
Draw
25.9%
Swansea City
34.3%
108
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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