Swansea have struggled in recent matches but should be raring to fight during a South Wales derby in front of their own supporters at the Swansea.com Stadium.
Cardiff are threatening a serious top-six push following four-straight wins, but we feel that the Bluebirds will be forced to share the points on Saturday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.