Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Vyner (22'), Weimann (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Smith (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Bristol City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Despite losing their defensive acumen in recent matches, Middlesbrough never need any lessons in breaking down the opposition, and an injury-hit Bristol City side should strap in for a rough ride against the vengeful Boro. The Robins' penchant for goals at Ashton Gate will serve them well, but we still have faith in Carrick's men to get their promotion charge back on track and deal Pearson's side their first Championship home defeat of 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Middlesbrough
30.76% ( -0.92)	24.94% ( 0.09)	44.3% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 56.3% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

-0.79)

46.83% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.92% (

-0.75)

69.08% (

0.75)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

-1)

28.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63% (

-1.27)

64.37% (

1.27)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

0.04)

21.17% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.96% (

0.07)

54.04% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 30.76%

Middlesbrough 44.3%

Draw 24.93%

Bristol City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.76%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.3%