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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Vyner (22'), Weimann (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Smith (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Bristol City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Despite losing their defensive acumen in recent matches, Middlesbrough never need any lessons in breaking down the opposition, and an injury-hit Bristol City side should strap in for a rough ride against the vengeful Boro. The Robins' penchant for goals at Ashton Gate will serve them well, but we still have faith in Carrick's men to get their promotion charge back on track and deal Pearson's side their first Championship home defeat of 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
30.76% (-0.924 -0.92) 24.94% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 44.3% (0.829 0.83)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.794 -0.79)46.83% (0.792 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (-0.747 -0.75)69.08% (0.74600000000001 0.75)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.99799999999999 -1)28.58% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-1.267 -1.27)64.37% (1.266 1.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.067 0.07)54.04% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 30.76%
    Middlesbrough 44.3%
    Draw 24.93%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.321 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.3%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
15.2%
Draw
17.4%
Middlesbrough
67.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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