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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
0 - 4
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-3)
James (20', 28'), Solomon (35'), Piroe (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Watford 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds have drawn seven of their 15 away Championship matches this season, and they will be coming against a Watford side that have only been beaten four times on home soil in the league this term; Leeds have been the best side in the Championship so far this season, but we are expecting them to drop two points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
19.06% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.68% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 57.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)51.7% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)73.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)77.89% (0.012 0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.012 -0.01)17.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)48.6% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 19.06%
    Leeds United 57.25%
    Draw 23.68%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.52% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 19.06%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 12.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 57.25%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
27.1%
Draw
18.8%
Leeds United
54.1%
85
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
2-1
Watford
Ramazani (4'), Aaronson (7')
Tanaka (38'), Firpo (59')
Baah (47')
Ebosele (35'), Cleverley (36')
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 39
Watford
2-2
Leeds
Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
6Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
7Bristol City37131594740754
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich371213125952749
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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