We said: Watford 1-1 Leeds United
Leeds have drawn seven of their 15 away Championship matches this season, and they will be coming against a Watford side that have only been beaten four times on home soil in the league this term; Leeds have been the best side in the Championship so far this season, but we are expecting them to drop two points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.