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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
2 - 2
Leeds

Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 0-2 Leeds United

Watford would do well to target a potentially decimated left-hand side of the Leeds XI, but the hosts just cannot buy a win at Vicarage Road, and the new manager bounce should only take them so far this weekend. With Leeds possessing the formula for clean sheets on the road during their near-impeccable start to 2024, the visitors should pick up where they left off before the international break and maintain their standing in first place, in spite of their fresh fitness issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
24.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 51.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.72% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.72% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72%48.28%
Score Analysis
    Watford 24.84%
    Leeds United 51.45%
    Draw 23.7%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.84%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.43%
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.45%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
16.5%
Draw
5.8%
Leeds United
77.7%
139
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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