Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 2
Leeds

Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 0-2 Leeds United

Watford would do well to target a potentially decimated left-hand side of the Leeds XI, but the hosts just cannot buy a win at Vicarage Road, and the new manager bounce should only take them so far this weekend. With Leeds possessing the formula for clean sheets on the road during their near-impeccable start to 2024, the visitors should pick up where they left off before the international break and maintain their standing in first place, in spite of their fresh fitness issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Leeds United
24.84% ( 0)	23.71% ( -0)	51.45% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.8% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62% (

45.38% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28% (

67.72% (

-0)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

32.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

0.01)

68.72% (

-0.01)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.34% (

-0)

17.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.72%

48.28%

Score Analysis

Watford 24.84%

Leeds United 51.45%

Draw 23.7%

Watford	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 6.45% 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.84%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-3 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.69% Total : 51.45%