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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Watford


Ayling (47'), Forss (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sissoko (40')
Chakvetadze (65'), Selvik (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-4 Leeds
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Watford

Middlesbrough and Watford will both be low on confidence after finding wins hard to come by in recent times, and with that in mind we can envisage the two sides playing out a score draw in Saturday's clash at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
56.56% (-0.553 -0.55) 22.46% (0.145 0.15) 20.97% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 54.96% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.108 -0.11)44.15% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.105 -0.1)66.53% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)15.41% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76% (-0.415 -0.41)44.23% (0.415 0.41)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.339 0.34)35.03% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23% (0.354 0.35)71.77% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.56%
    Watford 20.97%
    Draw 22.46%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.56%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.46%
0-1 @ 5.66% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.97%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Watford

Middlesbrough
70.8%
Draw
12.5%
Watford
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')
Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
3-1
Watford
Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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