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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Watford has a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (5.66%).
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
56.56% (![]() | 22.46% (![]() | 20.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.84% (![]() | 44.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.46% (![]() | 66.53% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.59% (![]() | 15.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.76% (![]() | 44.23% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.97% (![]() | 35.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% (![]() | 71.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.09% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.56% | 1-1 @ 10.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 5.66% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 66 | 19 | 47 | 69 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 67 |
3 | Burnley | 32 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 30 | 64 |
4 | Sunderland | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 62 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 48 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Bristol City | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 45 |
8 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 45 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 44 |
10 | Coventry CityCoventry | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 43 |
13 | Watford | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 42 |
14 | Millwall | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 40 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 38 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 37 |
18 | Portsmouth | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 33 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 31 |
21 | Hull City | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 29 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
24 | Luton TownLuton | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |