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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
vs.
Watford

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-4 Leeds
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We say: Middlesbrough 2-2 Watford

Middlesbrough and Watford will both be low on confidence after finding wins hard to come by in recent times, and with that in mind we can envisage the two sides playing out a score draw in Saturday's clash at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Watford has a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (5.66%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
56.56% (-0.86 -0.86) 22.46% (0.271 0.27) 20.97% (0.584 0.58)
Both teams to score 54.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.429 -0.43)44.15% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.418 -0.42)66.53% (0.414 0.41)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)15.41% (0.426 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76% (-0.809 -0.81)44.23% (0.805 0.81)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.333 0.33)35.03% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23% (0.349 0.35)71.77% (-0.35300000000001 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.56%
    Watford 20.97%
    Draw 22.46%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.56%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.46%
0-1 @ 5.66% (0.155 0.16)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.97%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford?

Middlesbrough
Draw
Watford
Middlesbrough
77.8%
Draw
5.6%
Watford
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')
Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
3-1
Watford
Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd32216546232367
3Burnley32171323993064
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn32146123731648
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom321114741301147
7Bristol City32111294036445
8Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds32129114548-345
9Middlesbrough31128115042844
10Coventry CityCoventry32128124240244
11Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
12Norwich CityNorwich321110115044643
13Watford32126144248-642
14Millwall311010113132-140
15Preston North EndPreston3191393438-440
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd32911123445-1138
17Swansea CitySwansea32107153343-1037
18Portsmouth3289153955-1633
19Stoke CityStoke31711132839-1132
20Cardiff CityCardiff31710143453-1931
21Hull City3178163142-1129
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth31610153464-3028
24Luton TownLuton3176183051-2127


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