Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford2 - 2Millwall
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Watford 1-1 Millwall
Ismael will be confident that his side are more settled and capable of quickly becoming promotion contenders. Nevertheless, we are yet to see that kind of consistency from them, leading us to back a low-scoring draw between two well-match sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Millwall |
41.38% ( 0.05) | 27.25% ( -0.02) | 31.37% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.91% ( 0.08) | 56.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.84% ( 0.06) | 77.16% ( -0.06) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( 0.06) | 26.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.06% ( 0.08) | 61.94% ( -0.08) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( 0.02) | 32.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.57% ( 0.02) | 69.43% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 41.38%
Millwall 31.37%
Draw 27.25%
| Watford | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.37% |
How you voted: Watford vs Millwall
Watford
61.9%Draw
28.6%Millwall
9.5%21
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
