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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Watford
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Asprilla (82')
Porteous (45'), Lewis (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrick (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday could well be rejuvenated under new management and will be desperate for a first league win of the season, while their hosts are yet to get going this term, but following the break, we see Watford having enough to click into place and return with a victory at Vicarage Road given the superior quality in their squad.
  • Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 22.24%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

    Result
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    54.17% (0.149 0.15) 23.58% (0.012 0.01) 22.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
    Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.238 -0.24)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    52.54% (-0.218 -0.22)47.46% (0.218 0.22)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    30.33% (-0.202 -0.2)69.67% (0.202 0.2)
    Watford Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.13% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)47.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
    Sheffield Wednesday Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    64.33% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)35.66% (0.271 0.27)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    27.56% (-0.278 -0.28)72.43% (0.28 0.28)
    Score Analysis
        Watford 54.17%
        Sheffield Wednesday 22.24%
        Draw 23.58%
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    1-0 @ 10.85% (0.09 0.09)
    2-1 @ 9.78%
    2-0 @ 9.49% (0.07 0.07)
    3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    3-0 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
    3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Other @ 3.7%
    Total : 54.17%
    1-1 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 6.21% (0.056 0.06)
    2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
    3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 23.58%
    0-1 @ 6.41% (0.011 0.01)
    1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
    0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
    2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
    0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
    Other @ 1.91%
    Total : 22.24%

    How you voted: Watford vs Sheff Weds

    Watford
    73.9%
    Draw
    4.3%
    Sheffield Wednesday
    21.7%
    23
    Head to Head
    Apr 2, 2021 3pm
    Gameweek 39
    Watford
    1-0
    Sheff Weds
    Lees (7' og.)
    Sierralta (30'), Hughes (64')

    Borner (3'), Urhoghide (38'), Reach (41'), Wildsmith (78')
    Sep 19, 2020 3pm
    Gameweek 2
    Sheff Weds
    0-0
    Watford
    Luongo (65'), Bannan (68')
    Chalobah (81'), Garner (88')
    rhs 2.0
    Today's games header
    Tables header RHS
    TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
    1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
    2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
    3Burnley2111822681841
    4Sunderland21117332171540
    5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
    6Middlesbrough21104735251034
    7Watford2010462926334
    8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
    9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
    10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
    11Bristol City216962626027
    12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
    13Millwall206772018225
    14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
    15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
    16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
    17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
    18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
    19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
    20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
    21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
    22Portsmouth193882134-1317
    23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
    24Hull City2137111930-1116


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