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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Watford
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Asprilla (82')
Porteous (45'), Lewis (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrick (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday could well be rejuvenated under new management and will be desperate for a first league win of the season, while their hosts are yet to get going this term, but following the break, we see Watford having enough to click into place and return with a victory at Vicarage Road given the superior quality in their squad.
  • Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 22.24%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

    Result
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    54.17% (0.149 0.15) 23.58% (0.012 0.01) 22.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
    Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.238 -0.24)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    52.54% (-0.218 -0.22)47.46% (0.218 0.22)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    30.33% (-0.202 -0.2)69.67% (0.202 0.2)
    Watford Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.13% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)47.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
    Sheffield Wednesday Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    64.33% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)35.66% (0.271 0.27)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    27.56% (-0.278 -0.28)72.43% (0.28 0.28)
    Score Analysis
        Watford 54.17%
        Sheffield Wednesday 22.24%
        Draw 23.58%
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    1-0 @ 10.85% (0.09 0.09)
    2-1 @ 9.78%
    2-0 @ 9.49% (0.07 0.07)
    3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    3-0 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
    3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Other @ 3.7%
    Total : 54.17%
    1-1 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 6.21% (0.056 0.06)
    2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
    3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 23.58%
    0-1 @ 6.41% (0.011 0.01)
    1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
    0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
    2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
    0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
    Other @ 1.91%
    Total : 22.24%

    How you voted: Watford vs Sheff Weds

    Watford
    73.9%
    Draw
    4.3%
    Sheffield Wednesday
    21.7%
    23
    Head to Head
    Apr 2, 2021 3pm
    Gameweek 39
    Watford
    1-0
    Sheff Weds
    Lees (7' og.)
    Sierralta (30'), Hughes (64')

    Borner (3'), Urhoghide (38'), Reach (41'), Wildsmith (78')
    Sep 19, 2020 3pm
    Gameweek 2
    Sheff Weds
    0-0
    Watford
    Luongo (65'), Bannan (68')
    Chalobah (81'), Garner (88')
    rhs 2.0
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    Tables header RHS
    TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
    1Sunderland1594225111431
    2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
    3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
    4Burnley157621861227
    5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
    6Watford158162322125
    7Middlesbrough157352317624
    8Millwall156541813523
    9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
    10Bristol City155732019122
    11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
    12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
    13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
    14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
    15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
    16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
    17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
    18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
    19Hull City153661620-415
    20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
    21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
    22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
    23Portsmouth152671628-1212
    24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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