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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
West Brom logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
West Brom

Hackney (29'), Doak (83')
Fry (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 18 at 3.35pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 West Bromwich Albion

Neither side are in strong form, and it would not be surprising if both conceded multiple chances on Tuesday. West Brom might be buoyed by the return of Mowbray and may start better than Middlesbrough, but the hosts should have enough to get back into the contest considering they have often found ways to draw matches and avoid defeat in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
49.13% (-0.393 -0.39) 24.82% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.04% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.060000000000002 0.06)49.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.053000000000001 0.05)71.23% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)20.04% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (-0.223 -0.22)52.25% (0.218 0.22)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.312 0.31)33.27% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11% (0.341 0.34)69.88% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.12%
    West Bromwich Albion 26.04%
    Draw 24.82%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 49.12%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.04%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough
45.3%
Draw
34.0%
West Bromwich Albion
20.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
West Brom
0-1
Middlesbrough

Mowatt (34'), Racic (59')
Hackney (74')
Jones (90+6')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Middlesbrough
1-0
West Brom
Rogers (40')
Howson (52')

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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