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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
West Brom logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
West Brom

Hackney (29'), Doak (83')
Fry (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 18 at 3.35pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 West Bromwich Albion

Neither side are in strong form, and it would not be surprising if both conceded multiple chances on Tuesday. West Brom might be buoyed by the return of Mowbray and may start better than Middlesbrough, but the hosts should have enough to get back into the contest considering they have often found ways to draw matches and avoid defeat in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
49.13% (-0.393 -0.39) 24.82% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.04% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.060000000000002 0.06)49.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.053000000000001 0.05)71.23% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)20.04% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (-0.223 -0.22)52.25% (0.218 0.22)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.312 0.31)33.27% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11% (0.341 0.34)69.88% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.12%
    West Bromwich Albion 26.04%
    Draw 24.82%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 49.12%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.04%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough
45.3%
Draw
34.0%
West Bromwich Albion
20.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
West Brom
0-1
Middlesbrough

Mowatt (34'), Racic (59')
Hackney (74')
Jones (90+6')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Middlesbrough
1-0
West Brom
Rogers (40')
Howson (52')

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd31206543222164
3Burnley31161323792861
4Sunderland311611447281959
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom311114641281347
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich311110105043743
9Bristol City31101293836242
10Watford31126134244-242
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds31119114448-442
12Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Swansea CitySwansea31107143342-937
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3179153754-1730
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3177173342-928
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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