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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Oxford United

Stoke
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Rose (46'), Stevens (76'), Lowe (90+1')
FT

Brannagan (34'), Bradshaw (39'), Kioso (81'), Matos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Oxford United

The visitors have been in fine form since Rowett took charge at the club last month, so we see them edging a tight encounter here. For Stoke, the results have improved under Robins, but they are still not winning enough games and we expect that to continue for at least another week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawOxford United
47.3% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07) 26.22% (0.026 0.03) 26.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.48% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)54.41% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.78% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)23% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.8% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.51% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.3%
    Oxford United 26.48%
    Draw 26.22%
Stoke CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.48%

How you voted: Stoke vs Oxford Utd

Stoke City
35.5%
Draw
12.9%
Oxford United
51.6%
31
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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