We said: Stoke City 1-2 Oxford United
The visitors have been in fine form since Rowett took charge at the club last month, so we see them edging a tight encounter here.
For Stoke, the results have improved under Robins, but they are still not winning enough games and we expect that to continue for at least another week.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 26.48% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).