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Luton Town
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Wigan logo

Luton
1 - 1
Wigan

Cornick (45+1')
Potts (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Naylor (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-2 Luton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-4 Hull City
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 3-1 Wigan Athletic

Luton will come into the game with far more confidence and momentum than their opponents, and even if the likes of Morris are rested from the start, we can still only envisage the Hatters progressing thanks to their superior quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawWigan Athletic
49.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.43%26.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)19.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)50.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.39%
    Wigan Athletic 26.18%
    Draw 24.43%
Luton TownDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Luton vs Wigan

Luton Town
80.6%
Draw
11.1%
Wigan Athletic
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Luton
1-2
Wigan
Morris (39')
Morris (70')
Lockyer (80' og.), Aasgaard (88')
Power (90+3')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-1
Wigan
McManaman (87'), Moncur (92')
Moncur (93')
Moore (35')
Dunkley (49'), Pilkington (54'), Garner (61')
Dunkley (91')
rhs 2.0
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