FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 1
Wigan

Cornick (45+1')
Potts (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Naylor (17')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-2 Luton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 1-4 Hull City
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 3-1 Wigan Athletic

Luton will come into the game with far more confidence and momentum than their opponents, and even if the likes of Morris are rested from the start, we can still only envisage the Hatters progressing thanks to their superior quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Wigan Athletic
49.39% ( -0.01)	24.43%	26.18% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.73% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.59% (

47.42% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.37% (

69.63% (

-0)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

-0)

19.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05% (

-0)

50.95% (

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

0.01)

32.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

0.01)

68.73% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 49.39%

Wigan Athletic 26.18%

Draw 24.43%

Luton Town	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.39%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.18%