MX23RW : Friday, January 17 13:14:21| >> :600:2969728:2969728:
Club World Cup | Semi-Finals
Feb 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Real Madrid logo

Al Ahly
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Maaloul (65' pen.)
Abdelmonem (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior (42'), Valverde (46'), Rodrygo (90+2'), Arribas (90+8')
Tchouameni (85')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid secure their spot in the final of the Club World Cup courtesy of a 4-1 victory over Egyptian outfit Al Ahly on Wednesday night.

Team News

Luka Modric and Toni Kroos are both in the Real Madrid XI for Wednesday's Club World Cup semi-final with Al Ahly.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Club World Cup clash between Al Ahly and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Club World Cup semi-final clash with Al Ahly on Wednesday.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Seattle 0-1 Al Ahly
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Club World Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, February 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Al AhlyDrawReal Madrid
23.14% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 24.62% (-0.147 -0.15) 52.24% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.02% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2% (0.535 0.53)50.8% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31% (0.469 0.47)72.69% (-0.46900000000001 -0.47)
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.25 0.25)36.69% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.25 0.25)73.47% (-0.251 -0.25)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.285 0.28)19.42% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (0.468 0.47)51.24% (-0.469 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 23.14%
    Real Madrid 52.24%
    Draw 24.61%
Al AhlyDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-1 @ 5.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 23.14%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.57% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.23% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 52.24%

How you voted: Al Ahly vs Real Madrid

Al Ahly
33.9%
Draw
7.2%
Real Madrid
59.0%
251
rhs 2.0
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