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Real Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Jan 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Atletico

Rodrygo (79'), Benzema (103'), Junior (120+1')
Ceballos (69'), Junior (97')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (19')
De Paul (44'), Mandava (54'), Hermoso (62'), Savic (97'), Koke (105+2')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid come from behind to record a 3-1 victory over rivals Atletico Madrid and progress to the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey quarter-final clash with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey quarter-final clash with Atletico Madrid on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valladolid
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
41.61% (0.229 0.23) 25.45% (0.134 0.13) 32.93% (-0.362 -0.36)
Both teams to score 55.45% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.67% (-0.683 -0.68)48.32% (0.683 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (-0.628 -0.63)70.47% (0.628 0.63)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (-0.185 -0.19)23.08% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (-0.273 -0.27)56.92% (0.274 0.27)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)27.91% (0.56 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-0.72 -0.72)63.52% (0.721 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 41.61%
    Atletico Madrid 32.93%
    Draw 25.45%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.179 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.93%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Atletico

Real Madrid
77.0%
Draw
12.7%
Atletico Madrid
10.3%
252
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 8pm
Atletico
1-2
Real Madrid
Hermoso (83')
Mandava (28')
Rodrygo (18'), Valverde (36')
May 8, 2022 8pm
Atletico
1-0
Real Madrid
Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Benzema (16'), Asensio (57')
Mendy (45+1'), Alaba (88')

Felipe (36'), Kondogbia (75'), Suarez (88')
Mar 7, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Suarez (15')
Carrasco (64'), Correa (72'), Felix (80'), Savic (90'), Llorente (90+2')
Benzema (88')
Varane (67')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Casemiro (15'), Oblak (63' og.)
Casemiro (36')

Lemar (46'), Correa (50'), Savic (61')
rhs 2.0
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