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Mexico national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 31, 2022 at 2.05am UK
 
El Salvador national football team

Mexico
2 - 0
El Salvador

Uriel (17'), Jimenez (43' pen.)
Gutierrez (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lemus (13'), Henriquez (31'), Hernandez (63'), Vigil (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Mexico and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Peru
Sunday, September 25 at 2am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Peru vs. El Salvador
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 2-0 El Salvador

It takes them a while to get going, but even though they have not looked as sharp as we are used to seeing, Mexico always seem to find a way, and we expect them to eventually solve a well-organised Salvadoran side to book their spot at the World Cup this November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.51%) and 3-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mexico in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
MexicoDrawEl Salvador
65.65%24.3%10.05%
Both teams to score 28.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.81%67.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.6%85.39%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72%53.28%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.71%64.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.31%92.69%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 65.65%
    El Salvador 10.05%
    Draw 24.29%
MexicoDrawEl Salvador
1-0 @ 20.95%
2-0 @ 16.51%
3-0 @ 8.67%
2-1 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 3.83%
4-0 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 65.65%
0-0 @ 13.29%
1-1 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 5.87%
1-2 @ 2.05%
0-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 10.05%

How you voted: Mexico vs El Salvador

Mexico
79.5%
Draw
10.8%
El Salvador
9.6%
83
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2021 3.05am
El Salvador
0-2
Mexico

Portillo (37')
Jacobo (48')
Moreno (30'), Jimenez (90+3' pen.)
Lozano (27'), Araujo (56'), Moreno (75'), Jimenez (78')
Araujo (67')
Jul 19, 2021 3am
Mexico
1-0
El Salvador
Rodriguez (26')
Rodriguez (70'), Salcedo (70'), Pulido (78'), Herrera (80')

Ceren (2'), Orellana (63')
rhs 2.0
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