CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 11, 2023 at 1am UK

Stade Municipal Pierre-Aliker

Martinique
1 - 0
Curacao

Labeau (48')
Corinus (50'), Biron (67'), Rabathaly (82'), Reuperne (88')
Herelle (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Markelo (35'), Gaari (60')
Bacuna (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Martinique and Curacao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Martinique

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Panama 3-0 Martinique
Friday, September 8 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	1	3	3
2	Guatemala	1	2	3
3	Trinidad and Tobago	1	1	3
4	Curacao	1	-1	0
5	El Salvador	1	-2	0
6	Martinique	1	-3	0

Curacao

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 1-0 Curacao
Thursday, September 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	1	3	3
2	Guatemala	1	2	3
3	Trinidad and Tobago	1	1	3
4	Curacao	1	-1	0
5	El Salvador	1	-2	0
6	Martinique	1	-3	0

We said: Martinique 1-0 Curacao

If Martinique are to break their winless run in this competition, Sunday might be their best opportunity, going up against a side in Curacao who have been equally poor as them in the attacking third, and playing on a pitch they know well should serve as an added advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martinique win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Martinique win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Martinique in this match.

Result
Martinique	Draw	Curacao
42.09% ( -15.61)	25.5% ( 2.62)	32.4% ( 12.98)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

3.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.31% (

-0.66)

48.68% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.2% (

-0.6)

70.8% (

0.6)

Martinique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

-6.63)

23% (

6.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

-10.8)

56.8% (

10.79)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

10.43)

28.42% (

-10.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

11.41)

64.17% (

-11.41)

Score Analysis

Martinique 42.09%

Curacao 32.4%

Draw 25.5%

Martinique	Draw	Curacao
1-0 @ 9.61% ( -1.9) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.97) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -3.35) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -1.59) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -2.82) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -1.09) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -1.57) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.09%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 1.2) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.93) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( 2.21) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 2.46) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 2.33) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 1.57) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.88) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1.27) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.62) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.4%