With plenty of fringe and uncapped players hoping to stamp their authority on the Argentina team, Scaloni should keep a plethora of his big-hitters in reserve - not that it would make any difference to the overall result. Argentina took a while to get going against Panama, but Curacao have been conceding goals at will, and the Albiceleste jubilation should continue with a straightforward friendly triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 5.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Curacao
83.47% ( -0.04)	11.14% ( 0.04)	5.39% ( 0)

Both teams to score 44.91% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.33% (

-0.21)

30.67% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48% (

-0.25)

52% (

0.25)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.68% (

-0.04)

5.32% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.08% (

-0.14)

20.92% (

0.14)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.43% (

-0.15)

52.56% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.63% (

-0.1)

86.37% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Argentina 83.46%

Curacao 5.39%

Draw 11.14%

Argentina	Draw	Curacao
2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 83.46%	1-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 11.14%	0-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 5.39%