MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 12:51:29| >> :600:3028478:3028478:
Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Rio
Real Valladolid logo

Pena Deportiva
1 - 5
Valladolid

Tovar (84')
Navarro (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Meseguer (17', 69', 71'), de la Hoz (50'), Quintana (78')
Quintana (24'), Cedric (26'), Garriel (59')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Pena Deportiva and Real Valladolid.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Pena Deportiva 1-4 Valladolid
Saturday, January 16 at 11am in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Eibar 5-1 Valladolid
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Pena Deportiva had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.15%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Pena Deportiva win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Pena DeportivaDrawReal Valladolid
11.52% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06) 18.72% (-0.061 -0.06) 69.76% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 45.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (0.113 0.11)45.4% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (0.108 0.11)67.73% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Pena Deportiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.89% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)48.11% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)83.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)11.84% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9% (0.14400000000001 0.14)37.1% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Pena Deportiva 11.52%
    Real Valladolid 69.75%
    Draw 18.72%
Pena DeportivaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 4.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-1 @ 3.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.52%
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 18.72%
0-2 @ 12.96%
0-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.22% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.75% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.92% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.6% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-5 @ 2.1% (0.017 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 69.75%

How you voted: Pena Deportiva vs Valladolid

Pena Deportiva
0.0%
Draw
40.0%
Real Valladolid
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2021 11am
Third Round
Pena Deportiva
1-4
Valladolid
Andrada (13')
Pomar (36'), De Val (88'), A (113')
Forner Fernandez (101')
Michel (62' pen.), Mesa (96' pen., 112'), Plano (116')
Perez (32'), Masip (44'), L (113')
rhs 2.0
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