Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla
Poblense1 - 6Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Poblense 0-4 Villarreal
Villarreal have been full of goals this season and that should again be the case on Tuesday night. Yellow Submarine head coach Marcelino will rest a number of important players, but the La Liga side should have far too much quality for their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Poblense had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Poblense win it was 2-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Poblense | Draw | Villarreal |
11.29% | 16.8% | 71.91% |
Both teams to score 51.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.91% | 37.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.72% | 59.28% |
Poblense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.9% | 43.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.63% | 79.37% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.95% | 9.05% |