Vasco

2 - 1

Athletico PR

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.