Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 19, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Vasco1 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Vasco da Gama and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Vasco
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
35.07% ( -0.63) | 27.2% ( -0.1) | 37.72% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.77% ( 0.33) | 55.22% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.54% ( 0.27) | 76.46% ( -0.28) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% ( -0.23) | 29.94% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% ( -0.28) | 66.05% ( 0.27) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% ( 0.58) | 28.33% ( -0.59) |