Fluminense1 - 0Atletico Mineiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
for
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Fluminense 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
While Fluminense have been some way from their best this season, they have managed to pull off results in this competition when it mattered. They also beat this opponent less than a month ago and are unbeaten in their last seven games at home. Thus, we feel O Flu will edge the result in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
41.01% ( 0.02) | 27.95% ( 0.01) | 31.04% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.24% ( -0.02) | 58.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.72% ( -0.02) | 79.28% ( 0.02) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( -0) | 28.15% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% ( -0) | 63.84% ( 0) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.51% ( -0.03) | 34.5% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.79% ( -0.03) | 71.21% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Fluminense | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.04% |
How you voted: Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro
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2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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