Fluminense

2 - 1

Cerro Porteno

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.