Guarani

4 - 1

Tigre

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Guarani win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Guarani would win this match.