MX23RW : Sunday, June 30 23:54:08| >> :60:1493:1493:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Olimpia
3 - 0
Atletico Nacional

Gamarra (19'), Paiva (50'), Torres (90')
Torres (12'), Torres (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrera (5'), Salazar (23'), Ocampo (60'), Deossa (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Olimpia and Atletico Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Patronato 0-2 Olimpia
Thursday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Nacional

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 0-1 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, May 25 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Olimpia 2-1 Atletico Nacional

 The onus is largely on Olimpia to make home advantage count and confirm their place in the knockout round, so we expect them to be fully up for this one. We can also see the hosts emerging victorious come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.

Result
OlimpiaDrawAtletico Nacional
42.89% (0.214 0.21) 27.61% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 29.49% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.262 -0.26)58.05% (0.258 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (-0.207 -0.21)78.73% (0.202 0.2)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.8% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71% (-0.34 -0.34)35.28% (0.33600000000001 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.355 -0.36)72.03% (0.351 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 42.89%
    Atletico Nacional 29.49%
    Draw 27.61%
OlimpiaDrawAtletico Nacional
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 29.49%

How you voted: Olimpia vs Atletico Nacional

Olimpia
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Atletico Nacional
33.3%
18
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Atletico Nacional
2-2
Olimpia
Mar 4, 2022 12.30am
Second Round 2nd Leg
Atletico Nacional
1-1
Olimpia

Palacio (43'), Barrera (56'), Mier (57'), Olivera (76'), Gomez (84'), Blanco (87')
Aguilar (71')

Ortiz (23'), Gomez (70')
Paiva (71')
Feb 25, 2022 12.30am
Second Round 1st Leg
Olimpia
3-1
Atletico Nacional

Silva (64'), Salazar (85'), Camacho (90+1')

Gomez (63'), Pabon (64'), Palacio (72')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
> Preview
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
> Preview
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
> Preview
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!