Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol3 - 2Athletico PR
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and Athletico Paranaense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 41.93% | 28.01% | 30.06% |
| Both teams to score 46.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
