Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Guarani in this match.