MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 08:22:51| >> :60:66:66:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
1 - 2
Lanus

Arce (14')
Piovi (19'), Mina (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Perez (23'), Moreno (45+1')
Aquino (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between LDU Quito and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Always Ready 3-1 LDU Quito
Friday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 3-1 Lanus
Friday, August 9 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: LDU Quito 2-1 Lanus

LDU Quito have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks and will head into Thursday's matchup with confidence as they look to secure a first-leg advantage. Lanus' recent form on the road leaves a lot to be desired and we see them struggling at the Rodrigo Paz Delgado Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawLanus
57.43% (-0.067 -0.07) 24.4% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 18.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.7% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (-0.196 -0.2)55.53% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-0.16 -0.16)76.7% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.101 -0.1)19.22% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-0.165 -0.16)50.91% (0.161 0.16)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (-0.106 -0.11)44.66% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (-0.084 -0.08)80.66% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 57.42%
    Lanus 18.17%
    Draw 24.39%
LDU QuitoDrawLanus
1-0 @ 14.15% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 57.42%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs Lanus

LDU Quito
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Lanus
7.1%
14
rhs 2.0
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